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Central Bank of Barbados: Economic Review for January-September 2024

October 30, 2024

Barbados has continued on a path of resilience and economic progress in spite of Hurricane Beryl’s severe effects and global economic uncertainty.  During the first nine months of 2024, real GDP increased by 3.9 percent, propelled by key sectors such as construction, business services, and tourism. The country’s external position remained robust, as evidenced by the highest level of international reserves at the end of September, which is equal to 31.2 weeks’ worth of imports of goods and services. At the same time, inflation moderated and unemployment decreased.

Strategic investments and fiscal restraint have helped to keep the economy stable. Higher direct tax revenues, particularly corporation and property taxes, along with increasing VAT receipts, have allowed the government to raise public transfers and investments in important sectors such as education, as well as digitisation measures aimed at enhancing public service delivery. To boost Barbados’ future growth prospects, investments in innovation, such as the establishment of a new digital innovation and health center, have been prioritized.

The government’s fiscal actions resulted in a surplus, lowering the debt-to-GDP ratio. A $581.9 million primary surplus from April to September, or 4% of GDP, contributed to a continuous drop in the debt-to-GDP ratio, which is presently 105.6 percent. This performance demonstrates Barbados’ resilience in dealing with external shocks while continuing to lessen its reliance on fresh debt. Barbados’ ability to negotiate global issues and secure sustainable development has been strengthened by reducing expenditures and allocating resources to long-term economic strategies.

Despite increased geopolitical instability, the economic outlook remains positive. Looking ahead, Barbados’ economy is predicted to maintain its upward trend, fueled by further expansion in tourism, construction, and commercial services. While external concerns like as global commodity price swings and geopolitical uncertainties persist, the country’s emphasis on strategic investments and fiscal prudence is expected to contribute to continued stability and resilience.

(Source: Central Bank of Barbados)

 

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Analyst Certification -The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the personal views of Mayberry Investments Limited Research Department about those issuer (s) or securities as at the date of this report. Each research analyst (s) also certify that no part of their compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendation(s) or view (s) expressed by that research analyst in this research report.

Company Disclosure -The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, however its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. You are hereby notified that any disclosure, copying, distribution or taking any action in reliance on the contents of this information is strictly prohibited and may be unlawful. Mayberry may effect transactions or have positions in securities mentioned herein. In addition, employees of Mayberry may have positions and effect transactions in the securities mentioned herein.

 

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