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Overseas Headlines – November 4, 2024

November 4, 2024

United States:

‘Trump Trade’ Doubts Drag on Dollar, Boosting US Treasuries

Treasury yields fell sharply, and the dollar weakened as investors pared bets on Republican Donald Trump prevailing in Tuesday’s US election.

 

The yield on 10-year Treasuries dropped as much as 11 basis points to 4.27% after a new poll suggested traders were underestimating the prospect of a win for Democrat Kamala Harris.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-11-04/dollar-falls-bond-futures-gain-as-some-trump-trades-are-pared

 

United Kingdom:

Investors Await BOE Verdict on Whether Budget Hinders Rate Cuts

The Bank of England may extinguish hopes of a shift to quicker interest-rate cuts this week after the budget reignited inflation concerns and triggered a selloff in UK bonds that evoked memories of the 2022 market meltdown.

Economists and traders expect the Monetary Policy Committee to push ahead with only the second rate cut this year on Thursday, lowering the benchmark rate by a quarter point to 4.75%.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-11-04/investors-await-boe-verdict-on-whether-budget-hinders-rate-cuts  

Asia:

China’s Next Stimulus Package Is Unlikely to Put Market Fully at Ease

 

Chinese lawmakers are gathering in the shadow of the US election to sign off on a fiscal package that’s set to run into the trillions of yuan yet is unlikely to put the market fully at ease.

 

The stakes have grown for this week’s conclave of the Standing Committee of the National People’s Congress, the executive body of the nation’s top legislature, as it’s expected to round out China’s largest effort to lift growth since the pandemic.

 

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-11-04/china-stimulus-questions-to-persist-long-after-meeting-this-week  

 

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