October 24, 2022
United States:
Most in NABE Survey Say US Already in Recession or May Be Soon
Almost two-thirds of respondents in a survey of business economists say the US is either already in a recession or has better-than-even odds it will be within the next year.
A National Association for Business Economics survey showed over half of the respondents view a recession as more probable than not, while another 11% indicated the economy is already in one. The survey of 55 NABE members conducted Oct. 3-10 also indicated slower demand, an easing in labor market tightness and a slight moderation in price pressures.
Europe:
ECB Preps Another Big Hike as Focus Shifts to Where It Will Stop
The European Central Bank is priming another hefty hike in interest rates this week as the attention increasingly switches to how high it will eventually push.
A second straight three-quarter-point increase — an increment that appeared almost inconceivable earlier this year but is becoming the norm after three such moves by the Federal Reserve — is all but a done deal on Thursday, bringing the deposit rate to 1.5%.
Asia:
Xi Starts Third Term With GDP Showing China Economy in Doldrums
China’s economic risks showed no signs of easing, with strict Covid controls and a property slump continuing to weigh on growth and weaker global demand curbing exports, underlining the challenges President Xi Jinping faces as he begins a third term as leader.
In data delayed almost a week, the statistics bureau’s figures showed gross domestic product rebounded to 3.9% in the third quarter from almost stagnant growth in the second quarter when Shanghai and other cities were in lockdown. The pickup was fueled by increasing investment in infrastructure, though retail sales weakened and unemployment increased.
Disclaimer:
Analyst Certification – The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the personal views of Mayberry Investments Limited Research Department about those issuer (s) or securities as at the date of this report. Each research analyst (s) also certify that no part of their compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendation (s) or view (s) expressed by that research analyst in this research report.
Company Disclosure – The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, however its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. You are hereby notified that any disclosure, copying, distribution or taking any action in reliance on the contents of this information is strictly prohibited and may be unlawful. Mayberry may affect transactions or have positions in securities mentioned herein. In addition, employees of Mayberry may have positions and effect transactions in the securities mentioned herein.