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Government debt increases for both Euro Area and EU

July 22, 2024

The euro area’s (EA20) general government gross debt-to-GDP ratio was 88.7% at the end of the first quarter of 2024, up from 88.2% in the fourth quarter of 2023. In the EU, the percentage rose from 81.5% to 82.0%.

Government debt to GDP ratios fell in both the euro area (from 90.1% to 88.7%) and the EU (from 83.0% to 82.0%) compared to the first quarter of 2023.

At the end of the first quarter of 2024, general government debt comprised 83.9% debt securities in the euro area and 83.4% in the EU, 13.6% loans in the euro area and 14.0% in the EU, and 2.6% currency and deposits in both the euro area and the EU.

As a result of EU Member States’ governments lend to specific Member States, quarterly data on intergovernmental lending (IGL) are also published. The IGL as a percentage of GDP at the end of the first quarter of 2024 was 1.4% in the euro area and 1.2% in the EU.

Government debt at the end of the first quarter of 2024 by Member State

At the end of the first quarter of 2024, Greece (159.8%), Italy (137.7%), France (110.8%), Spain (108.9%), Belgium (108.2%), and Portugal (100.4%) had the highest government debt-to-GDP ratios, while Bulgaria (22.6%), Estonia (23.6%), and Luxembourg (27.2%) had the lowest.

At the end of the first quarter of 2024, twenty Member States’ debt-to-GDP ratios increased, while seven decreased, compared to the fourth quarter of 2023. The ratio increased the most in Slovakia (+4.6 percentage points – pp), Estonia (+4.0 pp), Belgium (+3.1 pp), Romania (+2.8 pp), Hungary (+2.5 pp), and Austria (+2.1 pp), while it decreased in Greece (-2.1 pp), Cyprus and the Netherlands (both -1.2 pp), Sweden and Ireland (both -0.8 pp), Bulgaria (-0.5 pp), and Germany (-0.2 pp).

Compared to the first quarter of 2023, twelve Member States’ debt-to-GDP ratios increased, fourteen Member States decreased, and Ireland’s ratio stayed unchanged. The ratio increased the most in Estonia (+6.3 pp), Finland (+4.2 pp), Poland (+3.3 pp), Slovakia (+2.7 pp), Romania (+2.2 pp), Lithuania (+2.1 pp), and Belgium (+2.0 pp). Portugal (-12.0 pp), Greece (-9.6 pp), Cyprus (-6.8 pp), Croatia (-5.3 pp), the Netherlands (-2.8 pp), Spain, and Germany (both -2.2 pp) had the most significant drops.

(Source: Eurostat)

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Analyst Certification -The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the personal views of Mayberry Investments Limited Research Department about those issuer(s) or securities as at the date of this report. Each research analyst (s) also certify that no part of their compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) expressed by that research analyst in this research report.

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