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Government Operation Results for December 2017

February 01, 2018.

For the period of April 2017 to December 2017, the GOJ reported Total Revenues & Grants of $392.16 billion, $15.72 billion more than the government’s projection. Furthermore, year over year, this represents an increase of approximately 11.4% relative to the $352.04 billion recorded for the corresponding period in 2016. ‘Tax Revenue’, ‘Non-Tax Revenue’, ‘Capital Revenue’ and ‘Grants’, outperformed projections while ‘Bauxite Levy’ underperformed projections during the review period. ‘Tax Revenues’ amounted to $353.06 billion, $11.5 billion more than budgeted, ‘Non-Tax Revenue’ of $32.20 billion was reported; $1.27 million more than budgeted. ‘Grants’ totalled $3.37 billion, $161.6 million or 5.0% more than budgeted.  In addition, “Bauxite Levy” closed at $127.5 million, 3.5 million or 2.7% below the budgeted figure of $131.0 million, while ‘Capital Revenues’ grossly outperformed projections by 455.1% or $2.79 billion to total $3.40 billion relative to the budgeted figure of $613 million.

Expenditures

Total Expenditure for the period April to December 2017 amounted to $389.63 billion, $9.44 billion or 2.4% less than the budgeted $399.07 billion. Recurrent expenditure which totalled $358.65 billion, accounted for 92.05% of overall expenditures. Relative to projections, recurrent expenditure was $10.36 billion (2.8%) less than budgeted. Of the recurrent expenditure categories over the review period, all categories with the exception of ‘Employee Contribution’ came in below budget. ‘Programmes’ which amounted to $123.16 billion was $3.44 billion or 2.7% less than projected, ‘Compensation of Employees’ which amounted to $140.27 billion was $4.25 billion or 2.9%  less than projected and ‘Wages & Salaries’ amounting to $129.51 billion was $4.97 billion or 3.7% less than projected. ‘Employee Contribution’ which amounted to $10.76 billion for the period was over budget by 7.2% relative to the budgeted $10.04 billion.

As a result of the increase in revenues and grants for the period April to December 2017, the ‘Fiscal Surplus’ was $2.54 billion, relative to a projected deficit of $22.62 billion. Additionally, the primary balance for the period amounted to $97.76 billion, 29.9% more than budgeted.

As part of the Memorandum of Economic and Financial Policies (MEFP), the GOJ estimates that the primary balance, as a performance criterion, should amount to $132.3 billion by the end of the 2017/2018 fiscal year.  For the December quarter, a primary balance of $59.0 billion is estimated. As at the end of December 2017, this amounted to $97.76 billion.  Tax Revenue was expected to total an estimated $328.0 billion by the end of the December quarter. The reported tax revenue for the end of December 2017, was t $353.06 billion.

Disclaimer:

Analyst Certification -The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the personal views of Mayberry Investments Limited Research Department about those issuer (s) or securities as at the date of this report. Each research analyst (s) also certify that no part of their compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendation (s) or view (s) expressed by that research analyst in this research report.

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