Jamaica’s economy to return to pre-COVID-19 output levels by 2023

October 12, 2022

Data from the Statistical Institute of Jamaica (STATIN) indicate that Jamaica is on track to return to pre-COVID-19 levels of economic output by 2023.

Minister of finance and the public service, Dr Nigel Clarke, said that achieving the target will place Jamaica “far ahead of our peers in the Caribbean region”.

“We are at 97 percent of our pre-COVID levels of economic output. We went all the way down to 82 per cent, but are back up to about 97 percent. This is related to the fact that we were able to maintain macro stability through the crisis,” Dr Clarke said.

Consequent, on the strong economic performance, S&P Global Ratings on Wednesday, October 5 affirmed Jamaica’s ‘B+’ rating, while maintaining its ‘Stable’ outlook for the economy.

Minister Clarke, who was addressing the Rotary Club of Kingston’s luncheon at The Jamaica Pegasus hotel in New Kingston on Thursday, October 6, said that gross domestic product (GDP) data from the STATIN show that the economy is “performing better than planned”.

STATIN reported that the economy grew by 4.8 percent during the April to June 2022 quarter, relative to the corresponding period last year.

This was attributed to a 7.2 percent increase in the Services Industry, despite the goods-producing industry contracting by two percentage points.

The services industry out-turn resulted from improved performances in all eight subsectors.

‘Hotels and restaurants’ led the way with 56 percent, while ‘wholesale and retail trade, repairs, and installation of machinery & equipment’, rose by 7.6 percent.

Other notable out-turns were ‘transport, storage and communication’, up 5.7 percent; ‘Real Estate, renting and business activities’, up 2.1 percent; ‘Electricity and water supply’, up two percent; and ‘Finance and Insurance Services’, up 1.1 per cent.

Dr Clarke noted that as persons were able to return to work, consequent on the gradual reopening of the economy, Jamaica commenced experiencing recovery at a “very fast clip”, with eight per cent growth in 2022, and a 4.5 percent projection for this year.

“As a result of this recovery, we are experiencing over performance, which is always a good thing. We have a lot of work to do. But there is no doubt about our trajectory… and based on the fact that we have been able to recover so quickly… we can look forward [to] the fruits of the stability that we enjoy,” he said.



Analyst Certification -The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the personal views of Mayberry Investments Limited Research Department about those issuer (s) or securities as at the date of this report. Each research analyst (s) also certify that no part of their compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendation(s) or view (s) expressed by that research analyst in this research report.

Company Disclosure -The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, however its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. You are hereby notified that any disclosure, copying, distribution or taking any action in reliance on the contents of this information is strictly prohibited and may be unlawful. Mayberry may affect transactions or have positions in securities mentioned herein. In addition, employees of Mayberry may have positions and effect transactions in the securities mentioned herein.