Date: August 8, 2018
Jamaica’s Net International Reserves (NIR) totaled US$3,149.48 million as at July 2018, reflecting an increase of US$13.99 million relative to the US$3,135.49 million reported as at the end of June 2018 (see figure 1).
Changes in the NIR resulted from an increase in Foreign Assets of US$13.32 million to total US$3,700.72 million compared to the US$3,687.40 million reported for June 2018. ‘Currency & Deposits’ contributed the most to the increase in Foreign Assets. ‘Currency & Deposits’ as at July 2018 totaled US$3,119.36 million reflecting an increase of US$17.56 million compared to US$3,101.80 million booked as at June 2018.
‘Securities’ amounted to US$320.43 million; US$3.92 million less than the US$324.35 million reported in June 2018. Foreign Liabilities for July 2018 amounted to US$551.24 million compared to the US$551.91 million reported for June 2018. Liabilities to the IMF accounted for 100% of total foreign liabilities, reflecting a US$0.67 million decline month over month from June 2018.
At its current value, the NIR is US$413.13 million more than its total of US$2,736.35 million as at the end of July 2017. The current reserve is able to support approximately 32.60 weeks of goods imports or 19.87 weeks of goods and services imports.
Figure 1
Figure 2
The country came in slightly below the benchmark of US$3.28 billion outlined by the International Monetary Fund for March 2018. Under the New Agreement, the IMF noted, “Considerable progress has been achieved on macroeconomic policies and outcomes. Fiscal discipline anchored by the Fiscal Responsibility Law has been essential to reduce public debt and secure macroeconomic stability. Employment is at historic highs, inflation and the current account deficit are modest, international reserves are at a comfortable level, and external borrowing costs are at historical lows.”
All performance criteria for the period ended December 2017 were met. The IMF further noted, “Financial sector stability is a prerequisite for strong and sustained growth. Ongoing prudential and supervisory improvements will enhance systemic stability.” “Continued reform implementation will not only safeguard hard-won gains but also deliver stronger growth and job creation.” The Net International Reserve (NIR) target outlined as per the new agreement for the 2018/19 fiscal year is US$3.22 billion (see figure 2 above). As at July 2018, the Country is US$0.07 million below targeted amount.
Disclaimer:
Analyst Certification -This research report is for information purposes only and should not be construed as a recommendation. Each research analyst (s) also certify that no part of their compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendation (s) or view (s) expressed by that research analyst in this research report.
Company Disclosure -The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, however its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. You are hereby notified that any disclosure, copying, distribution or taking any action in reliance on the contents of this information is strictly prohibited and may be unlawful. Mayberry may affect transactions or have positions in securities mentioned herein. In addition, employees of Mayberry may have positions and effect transactions in the securities mentioned herein.