August 16, 2023
According to England’s Office of National Statistics (ONS) the Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers’ housing costs (CPIH) rose by 6.4% as at July 2023, down from 7.3% in June. The Consumer Prices Index (CPI) rose by 6.8%, down from 7.9% in June. On a monthly basis, CPIH fell by 0.3% in July 2023 compared to an increase of 0.6% in July 2022, while CPI fell by 0.4% in July 2023, in comparison to a 0.6% rise in July 2022.
“The primary factors influencing the yearly inflation rates for both CPIH and CPI are identical in cases where the measures overlap. Nevertheless, a significant distinction between CPIH and CPI inflation rates arises from the owner occupiers’ housing costs (OOH) element, which constitutes 16% of CPIH. This aspect predominantly contributes to the disparities between the inflation rates of CPIH and CPI, thus establishing CPIH as our most all-encompassing gauge of inflation,” highlighted by the ONS.
The most substantial downward influences on the monthly shifts in both CPIH and CPI annual rates were attributed to declining gas and electricity prices. In July 2023, there was a moderate increase in food prices, although the rise was less than that of July 2022, contributing to a moderation in the annual inflation rates. Notably, the categories of Hotels and air passenger transport played a pivotal role in counterbalancing these effects, offering the most significant upward contributions to the rate fluctuations.
The CPIH annual inflation rate for housing, water, electricity, gas, and other fuels fell from a high of 11.8% in January and February 2023 to 5.4% in July. Also, down from 7.3% month over month. Meanwhile, the CPI annual inflation rate for housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels fell from a high of 26.7% in January of 2023 and 12% in June 2023, to 6.8% in July.
In retrospect, Lower prices for gas and electricity have led to the largest downward contribution to the monthly change in CPIH and CPI annual rates.
Disclaimer:
Analyst Certification -The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the personal views of Mayberry Investments Limited Research Department about those issuer (s) or securities as at the date of this report. Each research analyst (s) also certify that no part of their compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendation(s) or view (s) expressed by that research analyst in this research report.
Company Disclosure -The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, however its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. You are hereby notified that any disclosure, copying, distribution or taking any action in reliance on the contents of this information is strictly prohibited and may be unlawful. Mayberry may effect transactions or have positions in securities mentioned herein. In addition, employees of Mayberry may have positions and effect transactions in the securities mentioned herein.